Macroeconomic backdrop

  • Scale of the flow
    • Inward remittances more than doubled from US$55.6billion (2010‑11) to US$118.7billion (2023‑24).
    • India has stayed the world’s No.1 recipient since2008, lifting its share of global remittances from ≈11% (2001) to ≈14% (2024).
    • Flows are projected to touch US$160billion by2029.
  • Macro‑stabilising role
    • Net receipts routinely finance about half of India’s merchandise‑trade deficit.
    • For most years this century, remittances have exceeded gross inward FDI, under‑pinning the balance of payments with a stable, counter‑cyclical cash‑flow.
    • Post‑pandemic rebound: after a ‑3.6 % dip in 2020‑21, annual growth averaged 14.3% between 2021‑22 and 2023‑24.
  • Global context
    • World remittances 2024: ~US$905billion; LMICs capture >75% (≈US$685billion).
    • Top receivers 2024: India, Mexico, China, Philippines, France, Pakistan, Bangladesh (Chart 1).
    • India’s stock of emigrants tripled from 6.6million (1990) to 18.5million (2024); share of global migrants rose from 4.3% to >6%. Half of all Indians abroad live in the GCC.
    • Remittances‑to‑GDP ratio: India ~3% (stable since 2000); China < 0.3 %; Philippines far higher (Chart 2b).

Sixth round survey 

Changing geography of receipts

  • Advanced economies (AEs) overtake Gulf region: in 2023‑24 the US,UK, Singapore, Canada & Australia together supplied >50% of inflows, eclipsing combined GCC share (Table 1).
  • Top ten source economies, share of India’s remittances (2023‑24)
    • United States –27.7% (up from 23.4 % in 2020‑21) – buoyed by tight US labour market; 78% of Indian migrants employed in high‑earning “STEM‑MBA” occupations.
    • United Arab Emirates –19.2% (18 % in 2020‑21) – largest hub for Indian blue‑collar workers in construction, health, hospitality & tourism.
    • United Kingdom –10.8% (6.8 % in 2020‑21) – jump linked to India–UK Migration & Mobility Partnership (May2021); annual Indian arrivals tripled to ~ 250 k by 2023.
    • Saudi Arabia –6.7%; Singapore –6.6% (up sharply from 2.4 % in the pandemic year).
    • Qatar –4.1%, Kuwait –3.9%, Canada –3.8%, Oman –2.5%, Australia –2.3%.
    • All GCC six (UAE, Saudi, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Bahrain): 38% (still below their pre‑COVID dominance).

Remittance: Inward distribution across Indian states/UTs (2023‑24)

RankState /UTShare%Notable trend
1Maharashtra –20.5%Down from 35.2 % in 2020‑21; reflects surge elsewhere rather than contraction.
2Kerala –19.7%Doubled from 10.2 %; mirrors fresh wave of student & skilled migration.
3TamilNadu –10.4%Stable rise.
4Telangana –8.1%Newly measured; large student & tech-worker cohort abroad.
5Karnataka –7.7%Strong IT‑services diaspora.
6‑10AndhraPradesh (4.4%), Delhi‑NCT (4.3%), Punjab (4.2%), Gujarat (3.9%), UttarPradesh (3.0%)

Long‑tailShares between 0.01–2.9% cover every remaining state/UT (Table 2) showing widening dispersion of recipients.

Cost landscape

  • Global benchmark – average fee to send US$200: 6.65% (Q22024), down from 9.67 % in Q1 2009, still above G‑20 target 5% and SDG target 3%.
  • India corridor:
    • Overall average (US$200, 2023): 4.9% – below world mean, already beats G‑20 goal but above SDG ambition.
    • Digital transfers cost 4.0%, ≈100bp cheaper than blended India average, and 1.3pp below world digital average (5.3%).
    • Weighted survey results:
      • <US$200 transfers – average cost 4.6%.
      • US$200‑500 transfers2.4%.
      • Cost hierarchy: highest via foreign‑currency Nostro route, next INR Vostro route; cheapest via RDA (MTOs & fintechs) across all sizes.
  • Digital share:
    • 73.5% of all remittances handled by MTOs reached India digitally in 2023‑24.
    • Country‑leaders in digital penetration: Saudi Arabia 92.7%, Australia 89.5%, Qatar 76.2%, UAE 76.1%.

Structural & policy insights

  • Diaspora shift: acceleration in skilled migration to AEs (STEM & services) is re‑balancing remittance geography away from GCC’s blue‑collar dominance.
  • Fintech competition: inclusion of digital‑only players under RDA is compressing fees and speeding delivery, especially for small‑value (sub‑US $200) transfers.
  • Digital public infrastructure (DPI): India’s UPI linkages with Singapore, UAE, Mauritius, etc., and participation in Project Nexus (multilateral ASEAN FPS link) promise further reductions in cost & friction.
  • Workforce imperative: with India’s working‑age population projected to keep rising until2048, sustained up‑skilling & re‑skilling is essential to leverage the diaspora dividend.
  • SDG cost target: India is ahead of the global curve yet still needs 1.9pp reduction in average fees on sub‑US $200 tickets to hit the 3% benchmark by2030.

(Information base – The Reserve Bank of India) 

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