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The Global Growth Gap, in One Table

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The IMF’s latest estimates show a 1.6-percentage-point growth gap between advanced and emerging economies in 2026.

IMF October 2026 World Economic Outlook · 2026 projected real GDP growth

Economy groupGrowth
World3.1%
Advanced economies2.1%
Emerging and developing economies3.7%
Emerging and developing Asia5.1%
Euro area1.1%
Sub-Saharan Africa4.5%

Source: IMF October 2026 WEO DataMapper. All values are projected annual real GDP growth rates.

What the table tells us

Emerging and developing economies are projected to grow faster than advanced economies in 2026. But the groups differ substantially in economic composition and individual country performance.

The 3.7% emerging-market growth projection exceeds the 2.1% advanced-economy figure by 1.6 percentage points.

That is a difference in growth rates, not a measure of relative prosperity or absolute economic output.

The broader implication is straightforward: global growth is continuing, but its momentum is far from evenly distributed.

The nine145 number: 1.6 percentage points — the projected advanced-versus-emerging growth gap in 2026.

Advanced economies
2.1%
Emerging economies
3.7%
Growth gap
1.6 pp
IMF economic group2026 GDP growth forecast
World3.1%
Advanced economies2.1%
Emerging/developing economies3.7%
Emerging/developing Asia5.1%
Euro area1.1%
Sub-Saharan Africa4.5%

These values are annual growth rates, not total GDP or measures of living standards.

Global growth comparison, 2026

IMF projected annual real GDP growth, percentage

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook DataMapper. October 2026 forecasts; growth gap is 3.7% minus 2.1% = 1.6 percentage points.

(Data Visualisation & Attribution: Interactive charts and graphics on nine145 are independently designed and developed using Chart.js, an open-source JavaScript library licensed under the MIT Licence.

© nine145. Original editorial content, analysis and visualisation design.

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Canada | August retail sales rise 1.2% monthlyCanada | August retail sales excluding autos rise 1.2%Canada | September annual inflation reaches 3.1%United States | October flash composite PMI reaches 57.6United States | October flash manufacturing PMI reaches 56.0United States | October flash services PMI reaches 57.9United States | October consumer sentiment index reaches 48.0United Kingdom | September annual inflation reaches 3.5%United Kingdom | August unemployment rate stands at 4.7%United Kingdom | September retail sales fall 0.4% monthlyUnited Kingdom | September retail sales excluding fuel fall 0.7%United Kingdom | October flash composite PMI reaches 53.1France | October flash composite PMI falls to 48.4France | October flash manufacturing PMI reaches 49.3France | October flash services PMI reaches 48.4Germany | October flash composite PMI reaches 52.8Germany | October flash manufacturing PMI reaches 54.2Germany | October flash services PMI reaches 51.7Eurozone | October flash composite PMI falls to 51.9Japan | September annual consumer inflation reaches 2.1%Japan | October flash manufacturing PMI reaches 53.3Japan | October flash composite PMI reaches 52.3South Africa | September annual inflation rises to 4.5%South Africa | September monthly consumer prices rise 0.4%Canada | August retail sales reach C$74.6 billionCanada | August core retail sales increase 1.1%Canada | September preliminary retail growth estimated 0.7%Canada | September gasoline prices rise 27.8% annuallyCanada | September inflation excluding gasoline reaches 2.2%Canada | August retail e-commerce reaches C$5.6 billionCanada | Canadian cyber incidents affect 16% of businessesMexico | Early October annual inflation reaches 3.62%Mexico | Early October fortnightly prices increase 0.41%South Africa | September fuel prices rise 27.9% annuallySouth Africa | September diesel prices rise 46.0% annuallySouth Africa | September petrol prices rise 25.0% annuallySouth Africa | September passenger transport inflation reaches 12.3%South Africa | September meat inflation falls to 0.7%South Africa | September cereals record 1.9% annual deflationUnited States | Weekly initial jobless claims fall to 194,000United States | September housing starts total 1.221 million annualisedUnited States | September building permits total 1.400 million annualisedUnited States | October housing market sentiment falls to 29Canada | September industrial producer prices rise 2.0% monthlyJapan | October population estimate reaches 122.69 millionAfrica | Informal employment accounts for 84.4% of jobs
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