The fiscal chapter sets out three linked priorities: predictable devolution to states, a disciplined glide path for deficits, and medium-term debt consolidation. The document notes acceptance of the recommendation to retain the vertical devolution share at 41%, alongside ₹1.4 lakh crore provisioned to states for FY27 as Finance Commission grants (including rural/urban local bodies and disaster management grants).

On consolidation, the central government targets a debt-to-GDP ratio of 50±1% by 2030. Debt-to-GDP is estimated at 55.6% in BE 2026–27 versus 56.1% in RE 2025–26. The fiscal deficit is held at 4.4% of GDP in RE 2025–26 and then nudged down to 4.3% in BE 2026–27, consistent with the stated prudence path.

Explainer Table 1 — Devolution and debt framework

ParameterWhat is statedWhy it matters
Vertical share of devolutionRetained at 41%Predictable state finances
FY27 Finance Commission grants₹1.4 lakh croreSupports local bodies + disaster management
Debt-to-GDP target50±1% by 2030Medium-term fiscal anchor
Debt-to-GDP estimate56.1% (RE 2025–26) → 55.6% (BE 2026–27)Directional reduction

Explainer Table 2 — Deficit trend indicators (as % of GDP)

YearFiscal deficitRevenue deficitPrimary deficitEffective revenue deficit
2022–236.504.003.002.80
2023–245.522.512.001.51
2024–254.811.681.380.88
2025–26 (RE)4.421.510.800.59
2026–27 (BE)4.301.490.680.30

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